Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.002440 0.002592 0.002755 0.002943 0.003156 0.003391 0.003671
2025-01-12 0.002147 0.002345 0.002568 0.002841 0.003172 0.003566 0.004082
2025-01-19 0.001989 0.002218 0.002486 0.002829 0.003269 0.003830 0.004633
2025-01-26 0.001795 0.002025 0.002299 0.002661 0.003140 0.003778 0.004744
2025-02-02 0.001722 0.001968 0.002269 0.002680 0.003247 0.004045 0.005353
2025-02-09 0.001684 0.001949 0.002283 0.002752 0.003430 0.004443 0.006267
2025-02-16 0.001628 0.001902 0.002254 0.002762 0.003521 0.004717 0.007052
2025-02-23 0.001607 0.001898 0.002280 0.002848 0.003735 0.005223 0.008482
2025-03-02 0.001546 0.001838 0.002225 0.002811 0.003749 0.005386 0.009254
2025-03-09 0.001483 0.001770 0.002155 0.002744 0.003706 0.005436 0.009780
2025-03-16 0.001461 0.001758 0.002162 0.002795 0.003864 0.005900 0.011695
2025-03-23 0.001436 0.001739 0.002157 0.002825 0.003988 0.006328 0.013898
2025-03-30 0.001386 0.001685 0.002103 0.002778 0.003980 0.006493 0.015490
2025-04-06 0.001328 0.001619 0.002028 0.002695 0.003898 0.006476 0.016384
2025-04-13 0.001295 0.001587 0.002001 0.002687 0.003957 0.006815 0.019581
2025-04-20 0.001226 0.001501 0.001891 0.002534 0.003719 0.006364 0.017837
2025-04-27 0.001206 0.001484 0.001882 0.002552 0.003820 0.006809 0.022476
2025-05-04 0.001199 0.001485 0.001902 0.002618 0.004027 0.007624 0.034002
2025-05-11 0.001179 0.001467 0.001890 0.002627 0.004116 0.008140 0.048335
2025-05-18 0.001175 0.001473 0.001916 0.002706 0.004370 0.009327 0.123977
2025-05-25 0.001147 0.001441 0.001881 0.002672 0.004363 0.009585 0.222770
2025-06-01 0.001115 0.001403 0.001833 0.002611 0.004285 0.009548 0.332922
2025-06-08 0.001108 0.001400 0.001843 0.002657 0.004472 0.010699 NaN